Finder’s Boom and Doom Australian Property Index

Find out if your suburb is a property hot spot or a danger zone.

Picture not described
  • This page was created in 2018 with data from that time period. The information on this page has not been updated and does not reflect current market conditions.

If you're buying, selling or investing in property, you need to look closely at suburb-level data to make a better decision. To help you do this, we've analysed property data using six key metrics in order to evaluate market conditions by postcode. The result: a "Boom and Doom" score for houses and units in every postcode in Australia's capital cities. These are scores out of 100 which correspond to five categories:

⚠️ Very vulnerable: under 40
👎 Vulnerable: 40-50
➡️ Average: 50-60
🤞 Somewhat safe: 60-80
👍 Safe: above 80

Suburbs with a "Vulnerable" or "Very vulnerable" score are more likely to experience, or are currently experiencing, significant price drops. Safe suburbs are ones that have seen recent price rises, faster sales and less discounting.

You can search our index by entering a postcode or suburb name in the box below. Click the buttons below to read more on our methodology and scoring system.

Search postcodes and suburbs across Australia's capital cities

This table was last updated on 25 October 2018.
Loading data...
PostcodeCitySuburbsHouse scoreHouse statusUnit scoreUnit status
6004
Perth
East Perth
30.5
👎 Vulnerable
41.5
– Average
5117
Adelaide
Angle Vale
28.5
👎 Vulnerable
Under 250 units
Doesn't meet criteria
5115
Adelaide
Kudla, Munno Para, Munno Para Downs, Munno Para West
33.5
👎 Vulnerable
Under 250 units
Doesn't meet criteria
5116
Adelaide
Evanston, Evanston Gardens, Evanston Park, Evanston South, Hillier
35.5
👎 Vulnerable
Under 250 units
Doesn't meet criteria
6069
Perth
Aveley, Belhus, Brigadoon, Ellenbrook, The Vines, Upper Swan
38.0
👎 Vulnerable
35.5
👎 Vulnerable
6167
Perth
Anketell, Bertram, Calista, Casuarina, Kwinana Beach, Kwinana Town Centre, Mandogalup, Medina, Orelia, Parmelia, Postans, The Spectacles, Wandi
37.0
👎 Vulnerable
50.5
– Average
3205
Melbourne
South Melbourne
38.0
👎 Vulnerable
75.5
👍 Safe
6072
Perth
Mahogany Creek
33.5
👎 Vulnerable
Under 250 units
Doesn't meet criteria
6061
Perth
Balga, Mirrabooka, Nollamara, Westminster
38.0
👎 Vulnerable
41.0
– Average
2140
Sydney
Homebush, Homebush South, Homebush West
75.0
👍 Safe
44.0
– Average
2150
Sydney
Harris Park, Parramatta, Parramatta Westfield
47.0
– Average
46.5
– Average
6121
Perth
Oakford, Oldbury
33.0
👎 Vulnerable
Under 250 units
Doesn't meet criteria
6109
Perth
Maddington, Orange Grove
41.5
– Average
31.5
👎 Vulnerable
6054
Perth
Ashfield, Bassendean, Eden Hill, Kiara, Lockridge
41.5
– Average
39.5
👎 Vulnerable
5169
Adelaide
Moana, Seaford, Seaford Heights, Seaford Meadows, Seaford Rise
32.5
👎 Vulnerable
50.5
– Average
2027
Sydney
Darling Point, Edgecliff, Hmas Rushcutters, Point Piper
50.5
– Average
81.5
👍 Safe
2104
Sydney
Bayview
41.0
– Average
Under 250 units
Doesn't meet criteria
810
Darwin
Alawa, Brinkin, Casuarina, Jingili, Lee Point, Millner, Moil, Nakara, Nightcliff, Rapid Creek, Tiwi, Wagaman, Wanguri
38.5
👎 Vulnerable
32.5
👎 Vulnerable
2557
Sydney
Catherine Field, Rossmore
37.5
👎 Vulnerable
Under 250 units
Doesn't meet criteria
3142
Melbourne
Hawksburn, Toorak
37.0
👎 Vulnerable
48.0
– Average
6064
Perth
Alexander Heights, Girrawheen, Koondoola, Marangaroo
42.5
– Average
49.0
– Average
6003
Perth
Highgate, Northbridge
57.5
– Average
67.0
🤞 Somewhat safe
2047
Sydney
Drummoyne
42.0
– Average
46.0
– Average
6070
Perth
Darlington
37.5
👎 Vulnerable
Under 250 units
Doesn't meet criteria
6021
Perth
Balcatta, Stirling
46.0
– Average
37.0
👎 Vulnerable

finder's Boom and Doom Index Methodology

We examined six key metrics using ABS and CoreLogic data to create our Boom and Doom scoring system, with different weightings for each metric:

SourceMetricWeighting
CoreLogicAverage price changes in the last 12 months45%
CoreLogicAverage time on market15%
CoreLogicSales turnover10%
ABSProportion of homes owned with a mortgage10%
CoreLogicProportion of housing stock on the market10%
CoreLogicAverage vendor sales discount10%

Combining these data points creates a useful overview of a postcode's recent performance in the property market. We've weighted the data differently to reflect the fact that different data points have varying levels of impact.

It's important to note that we're looking at postcodes. One postcode can contain many suburbs, and some suburbs may fall between two postcodes. Suburbs will likely perform differently even within the same postcode. Crucially, the market conditions for houses and apartments are often completely different. That's why we've analysed and scored house and unit data separately by postcode.

What do these scores mean?

Our Boom and Doom scores are general indicators of a suburb's relative stability in the property market. It's important to keep in mind that past data is not always an accurate indicator of future performance, and the specific details of an individual property (size, location, number of rooms) are equally important factors to consider.

Some very expensive, "exclusive" postcodes have scored quite badly on our index, especially in Sydney and Melbourne. This is because recent price declines have made a big dent in prices in these suburbs. But even with significant drops, these are still some of the country's most expensive postcodes. 15% price falls might seem shocking, but in the wider context of years of runaway growth, most homeowners are still in a good position. Our index simply reflects the recent, broader trend in price declines.

Property prices are plummeting in my area, what should I do?

House prices are definitely down in many parts of Australia and more people are selling properties at a loss. But preparation is better than panic. Your response depends mainly on your plans and your financial position.

I'm paying off my mortgage

If prices are dropping but you're staying put, then you don't need to worry. But be aware that falling prices can limit your future options. If you need to sell in a hurry, you might have to sell at a loss. Also, falling prices can erode your equity (the value you've built up in the property through paying off your mortgage). This makes it harder to access that equity for things like renovations or investment.

Negative equity also makes it hard to refinance. If your home loan interest rate is very high, you should look at refinancing sooner rather than later. If your property continues to fall in value, you will find it even harder to refinance.

Refinance to a lower interest rate

I'm planning to invest

Investors thinking long term may not be too affected by falling prices. You won't see much capital gain in the short term if you buy in a falling suburb, but underlying fundamentals like supply and demand, population trends and future infrastructure developments can mean a suburb's future is bright even if there's a downturn.

You also need to think about rental yields versus the cost of your mortgage and property maintenance.

Investors hoping to buy a property and "flip" it quickly when prices rise should be very careful about buying in the riskier suburbs on our index.

Compare property investment mortgages

I'm planning to sell

If you're planning to sell in a vulnerable suburb, you need to be realistic. Your property might be worth less than you think. Check recent sales of comparable properties to see what your property could sell for – and consider your position. Do you need to sell right now, or can you wait a while longer? This is a gamble too since prices could fall or stagnate for several years.

If you need advice on finding a reliable real estate agent check out our guide or find an agent using the table below.

I'm planning to buy

If you're looking to buy in a vulnerable suburb, you might be able to get a property for a lower price than you would have a year or two earlier. But be aware that it could continue to drop. Safe suburbs have rising prices, and you might need to get in quick before prices rise further.

Compare mortgages from across the market

{"visibility":"visibilityTable","ctaLabel":"Calculate","tableCode":"SAMPLE_COMPARISON_V2_TEMPLATE","nicheCode":"AUFHL","fields":[{"name":"LOAN_AMOUNT","value":"150000","options":"","label":"Borrowing amount","suffix":"$","useSuffixAsPrefix":true,"useDropDownOption":false,"tooltip":""},{"name":"PERIOD","value":"30","options":"","label":"Period","suffix":"years","useSuffixAsPrefix":true,"useDropDownOption":false,"tooltip":""}]}
1 - 10 of 7275
Name Interest Rate p.a. Comparison Rate p.a. Fees Monthly Payment
G&C Mutual Bank logo
Principal & Interest 2Y Fixed5% min. depositOwner-occupier
G&C Mutual Bank logo
Principal & Interest 2Y Fixed5% min. depositOwner-occupier
Go to site
Product NameG&C Mutual Bank Fixed Rate Home Loan
Interest Rate Typefixed rate
Repayment Type Principal & Interest
Interest Rate p.a.5.50%
Comp. Rate p.a.5.56%
Minimum Loan Amount$0
Maximum Loan Amount N/A
Maximum Loan Term30 years
Maximum LVR 95%
Loan Redraw FacilityYes
Offset AccountNo
Split Loan FacilityYes
Fixed Interest OptionYes
Loan Portable
Extra Repayments Up to 5% of the loan balance per annum
Interest Rate
5.50%
Comparison Rate
5.56%
Fees
Application: $500
Ongoing: $0 p.a.
Monthly Payment
$853
Go to site
Macquarie Bank logo
Principal & Interest 3Y Fixed30% min. depositOwner-occupier
Macquarie Bank logo
Principal & Interest 3Y Fixed30% min. depositOwner-occupier
Go to site
Product NameMacquarie Bank Basic Fixed Home Loan
Interest Rate Typefixed rate
Repayment Type Principal & Interest
Interest Rate p.a.5.55%
Comp. Rate p.a.5.82%
Minimum Loan Amount$150,000
Maximum Loan Amount $10,000,000
Maximum Loan Term30 years
Maximum LVR 70%
Loan Redraw FacilityNo
Offset AccountNo
Split Loan FacilityYes
Fixed Interest OptionYes
Loan Portable
Extra Repayments Yes
Interest Rate
5.55%
Comparison Rate
5.82%
Fees
Application: $0
Ongoing: $0 p.a.
Monthly Payment
$858
Go to site
Macquarie Bank logo
Principal & Interest 3Y Fixed30% min. depositOwner-occupier
Macquarie Bank logo
Principal & Interest 3Y Fixed30% min. depositOwner-occupier
Go to site
Product NameMacquarie Bank Offset Home Loan Package Fixed Loan
Interest Rate Typefixed rate
Repayment Type Principal & Interest
Interest Rate p.a.5.55%
Comp. Rate p.a.6.05%
Minimum Loan Amount$150,000
Maximum Loan Amount $10,000,000
Maximum Loan Term30 years
Maximum LVR 70%
Loan Redraw FacilityYes
Offset AccountNo
Split Loan FacilityYes
Fixed Interest OptionYes
Loan Portable
Extra Repayments Yes
Interest Rate
5.55%
Comparison Rate
6.05%
Fees
Application: $0
Ongoing: $248 p.a.
Monthly Payment
$858
Go to site
Macquarie Bank logo
Principal & Interest 2Y Fixed30% min. depositOwner-occupier
Macquarie Bank logo
Principal & Interest 2Y Fixed30% min. depositOwner-occupier
Go to site
Product NameMacquarie Bank Basic Fixed Home Loan
Interest Rate Typefixed rate
Repayment Type Principal & Interest
Interest Rate p.a.5.55%
Comp. Rate p.a.5.85%
Minimum Loan Amount$150,000
Maximum Loan Amount $10,000,000
Maximum Loan Term30 years
Maximum LVR 70%
Loan Redraw FacilityNo
Offset AccountNo
Split Loan FacilityYes
Fixed Interest OptionYes
Loan Portable
Extra Repayments Yes
Interest Rate
5.55%
Comparison Rate
5.85%
Fees
Application: $0
Ongoing: $0 p.a.
Monthly Payment
$858
Go to site
People's Choice Credit Union logo
Principal & Interest30% min. depositOwner-occupierNT, VIC & SA only
People's Choice Credit Union logo
Principal & Interest30% min. depositOwner-occupierNT, VIC & SA only
Go to site
Product NamePeople's Choice Credit Union Basic Variable
Interest Rate TypeVariable rate
Repayment Type Principal & Interest
Interest Rate p.a.5.64%
Comp. Rate p.a.5.65%
Minimum Loan Amount$150,000
Maximum Loan Amount N/A
Maximum Loan Term30 years
Maximum LVR 70%
Loan Redraw FacilityYes
Offset AccountNo
Split Loan FacilityYes
Fixed Interest OptionNo
Loan Portable
Extra Repayments Yes
Interest Rate
5.64%
Comparison Rate
5.65%
Fees
Application: $0
Ongoing: $0 p.a.
Monthly Payment
$866
Go to site
Macquarie Bank logo
Principal & Interest 3Y Fixed20% min. depositOwner-occupier
Macquarie Bank logo
Principal & Interest 3Y Fixed20% min. depositOwner-occupier
Go to site
Product NameMacquarie Bank Basic Fixed Home Loan
Interest Rate Typefixed rate
Repayment Type Principal & Interest
Interest Rate p.a.5.65%
Comp. Rate p.a.5.88%
Minimum Loan Amount$150,000
Maximum Loan Amount $10,000,000
Maximum Loan Term30 years
Maximum LVR 80%
Loan Redraw FacilityNo
Offset AccountNo
Split Loan FacilityYes
Fixed Interest OptionYes
Loan Portable
Extra Repayments Yes
Interest Rate
5.65%
Comparison Rate
5.88%
Fees
Application: $0
Ongoing: $0 p.a.
Monthly Payment
$867
Go to site
loans.com.au logo
Principal & Interest 3Y Fixed10% min. depositOwner-occupierSpecial
loans.com.au logo
Principal & Interest 3Y Fixed10% min. depositOwner-occupierSpecial
Go to site
Product Nameloans.com.au Fixed
Interest Rate Typefixed rate
Repayment Type Principal & Interest
Interest Rate p.a.5.69%
Comp. Rate p.a.5.95%
Minimum Loan Amount$50,000
Maximum Loan Amount $1,000,000
Maximum Loan Term30 years
Maximum LVR 90%
Loan Redraw FacilityNo
Offset AccountNo
Split Loan FacilityYes
Fixed Interest OptionYes
Loan Portable
Extra Repayments Available up to $10,000 per year
Interest Rate
5.69%
Comparison Rate
5.95%
Fees
Application: $0
Ongoing: $0 p.a.
Monthly Payment
$871
Go to site
loading
Showing 10 of 7275 results

Image: Shutterstock

Ask a question

You are about to post a question on finder.com.au:

  • Do not enter personal information (eg. surname, phone number, bank details) as your question will be made public
  • finder.com.au is a financial comparison and information service, not a bank or product provider
  • We cannot provide you with personal advice or recommendations
  • Your answer might already be waiting – check previous questions below to see if yours has already been asked

Finder only provides general advice and factual information, so consider your own circumstances, or seek advice before you decide to act on our content. By submitting a question, you're accepting our Terms Of Service and Finder Group Privacy & Cookies Policy.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Go to site